找回密码
 注册
搜索
热搜: 超星 读书 找书
查看: 865|回复: 13

[【其它】] 时殷弘:中国须持之以恒地尊重美国利益;持之以恒地改善周边关系

[复制链接]
发表于 2014-7-17 00:58:12 | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式
人民大学国际关系学院的时殷弘教授近来写了一篇文章《对美“进逼”,促新型大国关系》,其核心内容就两条:

一、实现中美新型大国关系,中国须持之以恒地以尊重美国紧要利益底线、伸缩不定但以伸为主的“逐渐进逼”,步步劝使和迫使美国退让,从而在相应的外交等工具辅助下,经过一段历史时期去实现中美新型大国关系。

二、持之以恒地大力加强周边外交和改善周边关系。

推想一下:
一、什么是美国的紧要利益底线?美国的紧要利益底线的边界在哪里呢?
二、与一些周边国家存在利益争夺的现实下,“加强”或许可以,“改善”恐怕以丧权辱国为前提。
回复

使用道具 举报

发表于 2014-7-17 17:29:42 | 显示全部楼层
楼主解读得很到位。
据前一段时间中央所说,人文社科部门有些人被渗透,急需肃清。
回复

使用道具 举报

发表于 2014-7-17 18:21:39 | 显示全部楼层
要尊重游戏规则,首先要研究游戏规则。这是对商业和金融而讲。

国家实力最终是要依靠科技的进步,非常遗憾,目前仅仅是经费投入的增加。要充分认识到科技进步是自下而上的,而不是这个工程那个计划所能解决的。
回复

使用道具 举报

 楼主| 发表于 2014-7-17 22:20:56 | 显示全部楼层
引用第1楼yuanjh于2014-07-17 17:29发表的 :
楼主解读得很到位。
据前一段时间中央所说,人文社科部门有些人被渗透,急需肃清。

有些人写文章好像有深深的目的。比如记得前些年有人专门写文章鼓励中国稀土出口,谈中国大力出口稀土的好处。
回复

使用道具 举报

发表于 2014-7-17 22:24:20 | 显示全部楼层
引用第1楼yuanjh于2014-07-17 17:29发表的 :
楼主解读得很到位。
据前一段时间中央所说,人文社科部门有些人被渗透,急需肃清。
个人感觉有些社科类、经济类的重阵似乎已经被国外势力斩首。
回复

使用道具 举报

发表于 2014-7-17 22:24:59 | 显示全部楼层
[quote]引用第2楼energy118于2014-07-17 18:21发表的
回复

使用道具 举报

发表于 2014-7-17 22:47:42 | 显示全部楼层
引用第5楼golden21c于2014-07-17 22:24发表的 :

重视科技进步是否就意味着重视科技部,厅,局?还是将其瓦解消亡?
社会是一个整体。。。。。。。。。。。。
回复

使用道具 举报

 楼主| 发表于 2014-7-19 00:07:40 | 显示全部楼层
KISHORE MAHBUBANI(马凯硕)在New York Times上发文说:《要帮助中国的鸽派去战胜鹰派》

Helping China’s Doves

By KISHORE MAHBUBANI

JULY 17, 2014

SINGAPORE — China is on the verge of destroying a geopolitical miracle. In 1980, its economy was less than one-tenth that of the United States. In 30 years, China rose to become No. 2 in the world, without disrupting the world order. Suddenly, with little warning, three decades of careful management of its external challenges have been replaced by three years of assertive and occasionally reckless actions.

This new posture partly explains an emerging Western media consensus that China has become an expansionist military power, threatening its neighbors and the world. But before this consensus is set in stone, we should remind ourselves what a large, complex society China is: Neither the country nor its government is monolithic. On a recent visit to Beijing, I saw that a lively debate is taking place among senior leaders on the strategy China should adopt as it moves toward becoming the world’s No. 1 economy.

In Western terms, there are both “hawks” and “doves” in the Chinese establishment. The hawks argue that China has been humiliated for over a century. Now that China is strong, they say, it can stand upright, and assert its case boldly, both in the East China Sea and in the South China Sea. My colleague Prof. Huang Jing at the Lee Kuan Yew School of Public Policy has said that young officers of the People’s Liberation Army are leading China on a collision course with America.

“The young officers are taking control of strategy, and it is like young officers in Japan in the 1930s,” he said. “They are thinking what they can do, not what they should do. This is very dangerous.”

I agree. These Chinese hawks are dangerous. We can only speculate on what’s driving this aggressiveness among the officer class. Like members of other military establishments, they may have a vested interest in tension, rather than calm.

But the “doves” have not lost the debate in Beijing. Instead, they are using the current wave of criticism of China in the Western media, as well as a new Pew Research Center survey that shows the rising anxieties of China’s Asian neighbors, to remind the leadership of the wisdom of Deng Xiaoping’s advice that China adopt a low profile as it emerges as a world power.

China’s decision in July 2012 to block a joint statement on the South China Sea from the Association of Southeast Asian Nations, the doves argue, was an act of folly. It alienated Asean, a multinational entity that represents nations with populations totaling 600 million, and that China had hitherto cultivated assiduously. Similarly, they say it is unwise for China to defend the “nine-dash line” map of its territorial claims in the South China Sea too aggressively when China, as the world’s largest trading power, has far larger interests in maintaining open seas globally.

They argue that China’s recent aggressive behavior has unleashed a “tiger” of anti-China sentiment that will be difficult to cage again. Most important, they say, time is on China’s side. It can afford to be patient as its power grows.

Given this internal debate, it would be unwise to rush to judgment. China will not necessarily become more hostile. Western prophecies of a dangerous China could even prove self-fulfilling if they provoke a nationalist backlash. The Chinese are still haunted by the humiliations endured at the hands of Western powers in the two 19th-century Opium Wars. The surge of anti-China opinion journalism is feeding the hawks’ assertion that there is a “containment conspiracy” on the part of the West.

When Mao Zedong and Deng ruled China, they paid scant attention to public opinion. Both leaders made significant territorial concessions when they settled China’s border disputes with Russia and Vietnam. Deng even made a generous offer of a “package plan” in an attempt to settle the Chinese-Indian border dispute in 1980. Today, no Chinese leader, not even President Xi Jinping, can make unilateral concessions of that kind.

Chinese public opinion matters in a way it never did before. China now has the largest Internet user community in the world; it is dynamic and vibrant — but also in danger of being dominated by the more virulent voices. Chinese leaders must be responsive to Chinese public opinion, but the West also has a role to play, in realizing how its actions can inflame rather than calm nationalist sentiment.

The priorities of China’s leaders have not changed. They spend perhaps 90 percent of their time focused on internal, not external, issues. To succeed in their reform efforts, Mr. Xi and Prime Minister Li Keqiang face considerable domestic challenges.

They have begun a major campaign against corruption. While this effort is undoubtedly entangled with factional struggles within the party, corruption is the one force that could ruin the legitimacy of the Chinese Communist Party. Success is far from guaranteed, with opponents devising ingenious ways of protecting themselves. Senior army figures, it has been suggested, may be stoking external tensions to save themselves from internal investigations.

Above all, the economy looms large in the minds of Chinese leaders. The need to reduce the role of state-owned enterprises is one of the major challenges facing the nation. China now produces seven million university graduates a year, many of whom cannot find work. This is a far bigger issue for China’s leaders than sovereignty over some barren rocks in nearby seas.

Since the leadership wants to focus on domestic problems, the world should let it. The international community has a clear interest in the doves winning out over the hawks in the internal debate over China’s geopolitical role, so it should ask itself one simple question: What can we do to help the doves?

Kishore Mahbubani, a former ambassador to the United Nations for Singapore, is the dean of the Lee Kuan Yew School of Public Policy at the National University of Singapore.
回复

使用道具 举报

发表于 2014-7-19 08:42:32 | 显示全部楼层
中国须持之以恒维护自己的利益
回复

使用道具 举报

发表于 2014-7-19 22:35:31 | 显示全部楼层
对外开放的同时也要解决矛盾,以免激化
回复

使用道具 举报

发表于 2014-7-20 08:45:09 | 显示全部楼层
为了改善与周边的关系,只有在多送土地与他们,知道他们满意。
回复

使用道具 举报

 楼主| 发表于 2014-7-20 19:40:39 | 显示全部楼层
引用第10楼qjg1963y于2014-07-20 08:45发表的 :
为了改善与周边的关系,只有在多送土地与他们,知道他们满意。


qjg1963y君说得真好,把“尊重美国”“改善周边关系”的最核心的内容表达了出来。

把qjg1963y君句子中的错字更正一下:
“为了改善与周边的关系,只有多送土地与他们,知道他们满意。”=>更正“为了改善与周边的关系,只有多送与他们,直到他们满意。”
回复

使用道具 举报

 楼主| 发表于 2014-7-20 20:02:04 | 显示全部楼层
引用第8楼chenheilinda于2014-07-19 08:42发表的 :
中国须持之以恒维护自己的利益

赞同!

所谓的“尊重”应该是双向的,而不是单向的。只要求中国尊重美国利益,而美国不尊重中国利益,这种想法、这种做法是很荒谬的。
回复

使用道具 举报

发表于 2014-7-21 10:54:16 | 显示全部楼层
看到楼上朋友们的发言,由衷地感到高兴。对于我们生于斯长于斯的普通百姓来说,个人利益与国家利益是绑定在一起的。维护国家利益是第一位的,除此之外的所谓专家说法不是装糊涂,就是别有用心。
回复

使用道具 举报

您需要登录后才可以回帖 登录 | 注册

本版积分规则

Archiver|手机版|小黑屋|网上读书园地

GMT+8, 2024-11-15 09:13 , Processed in 0.288201 second(s), 18 queries .

Powered by Discuz! X3.5

© 2001-2024 Discuz! Team.

快速回复 返回顶部 返回列表