Economyths: Ten Ways Economics Gets It Wrong

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作者：David Orrell
文件大小：3.12MB
文件类型：双层PDF
语言：英语
出版：John Wiley & Sons，2010年
页数：280
书签：无

内容简介：
From the failure of wealth to make us happier, to the world's catastrophic blindness in the lead-up to the credit crunch, \"Economyths\" reveals ten ways in which economics has failed us all. Forecasters predicted a prosperous year in 2008 for financial markets--in one influential survey the average prediction was for an eleven percent gain. But by the end of the year major economies were plunging into the worst recession since the Great Depression. In 2010, they still haven't fully recovered. An even bigger casualty was the credibility of economics, which for decades has claimed that the economy is a rational, stable, efficient machine, governed by well-understood laws. If all this were true, how could the world's most brilliant and talented financial prognosticators get it so wrong? Why couldn't our elaborate economic theories predict or prevent this enormous financial crisis from happening? Mathematician David Orrell explores these provocative questions and more. Tracing the history of economics from its roots in ancient Greece to the financial centres of London and New York, he reveals ten distinct ways in which it is mistaken--and proposes intriguing, and sometimes controversial, new alternatives. An unapologetic critic of economic theory, Orrell explains how the economy is the result of complex ad unpredictable processes; how risk models go astray; why the economy is not rational or fair; why until very recently no woman had ever won the Nobel Prize for economics; why financial crashes are less Black Swans than part of the landscape; and finally, how new ideas in mathematics, psychology, and environmentalism are helping to reinvent economics. Orrell deftly translates the arcane language of economic theory into a relevant, contrarian, and compelling exploration of the emotional subject of money. \"Economyths\" is a fascinating and elegantly written inquiry into the flaws in our conventional economic models, how they got us into so much trouble, and alternatives that could revolutionize the way we think about the economy.

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