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2006年4月5日 星期三
“西方人口增长将几乎均来自移民”
Migration to account for rise in population
联合国一份报告预测,发达国家几乎所有人口增长不久均将来自国际移民。
International migration may soon account for almost all population growth in the developed world, a United Nations study predicts.
联合国发现,国际移民在世界范围内实际上已经减速,但越来越多的移民前往人口出生率下降的富国。
While the UN found the pace of international migration had actually slowed worldwide, those people who were moving were increasingly headed for rich countries, which had declining birth rates.
“鉴于发达国家人口出生率低,移民净人数已成为人口增长的主要来源,占1990至1995年间人口增量的一半,1995至2000年间的三分之二,2000年至2005年间的四分之三。”联合国表示。
“Given the low fertility levels in developed countries, net migration has become the major source of population growth, accounting for half that growth in 1990-95, two-thirds in 1995-2000 and three-quarters in 2000-05,” the UN said.
“如果目前趋势继续下去,在2010年至2030年间,移民净人数可能会占据几乎全部人口增量。”
“If current trends continue, between 2010 and 2030, net migration will likely account for virtually all growth.”
调查结果可能会给欧洲和其它富国增加新的压力,这些国家在努力更好地接纳新移民,并减轻新移民与现有居民之间的紧张关系。
The findings are likely to add new pressure on European and other wealthy countries as they struggle better to accommodate their new populations and ease tensions with existing inhabitants.
以荷兰为例,它最近针对潜在移民推出一项测试,确保他们理解荷兰文化。该报告称:“1990年以来,许多移民接收国政府一直采取措施,促进符合需要的移民流入,尤其是技术移民和低技术的临时工。”
The Netherlands, for example, recently introduced a test for potential immigrants to ensure they understood Dutch culture. “Since 1990, the governments of many receiving countries have been taking measures to facilitate the inflow of the types of migrants they need, especially skilled migrants and temporary low-skilled workers,” the report said.
“此外,在鼓励公民归国并加强与海外移民社团的联系方面,移民的原住国政府已变得更为主动。”
“In addition, the governments of countries of origin have become more proactive in encouraging the return of their citizens and strengthening ties with their expatriate communities.”
这份报告是为人口与发展委员会(Commission on Population and Development)本周的会议而准备的。该报告称,全球共有1.91亿移民,高于2000年的1.75亿和1990年的1.55亿。这与1975年至1990年15年间的移民增长相比有所减缓,当时有4100万新移民。但在1990年至2005年间,3600万移民中有3300万流向发达国家,单美国就接收了1500万,德国和西班牙各接收400万。
The report, prepared for this week’s meeting of the Commission on Population and Development, said there were 191m migrants globally, up from 175m in 2000 and 155m in 1990. That represented a slowdown in growth compared with the 15-year period between 1975 and 1990, which saw 41m new migrants. But between 1990 and 2005, 33m out of 36m migrants moved to the developed world, with the US alone gaining 15m and Germany and Spain each accounting for 4m. |
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